Liberal Leadership Prediction

THE KENNEDY/DION CONGLOMERATE will definitely overpower the MI and Rae campaigns.

Rafe Mair makes some valid points but forgets Dion is not liked much in Quebec and nor do delegates favor a Quebec person as they might feel there have been too many - its time for a change (after Chretian and Martin).

But remember ANYTHING is possible! As there is so much power and momentum that can be created or lost on the floor.

If I have to put money down on the next leader, I say:

- 40% chance either Kennedy or Dion (but most likely Kennedy) will take it - they both stand their ground on issues and are very clear what their stances are,

- 35% chance for Rae - the silent but deadly type

- 30% MI - too much of a wild canon.